Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 897.046438 1019.186533 1156.954880 1324.880666 1525.413550 1758.937333 2053.997397
2025-02-02 730.560162 891.394562 1090.673230 1359.905823 1720.731215 2197.453506 2892.216774
2025-02-09 644.169326 821.234779 1053.920057 1390.040098 1877.081193 2580.697012 3721.485012
2025-02-16 571.306812 753.058287 1002.977294 1383.602800 1971.309082 2886.680764 4516.501415
2025-02-23 529.148986 718.517089 989.749917 1423.427471 2134.392767 3325.740419 5657.666410
2025-03-02 492.048841 685.263615 971.888797 1450.155092 2277.537155 3760.818358 6940.583159
2025-03-09 453.881291 645.394058 937.877372 1443.786586 2360.412680 4104.567528 8167.953972
2025-03-16 416.973945 603.262187 894.782311 1414.666905 2395.031947 4361.380715 9304.296300
2025-03-23 394.741889 581.584837 881.611608 1434.493055 2523.560671 4840.185445 11197.664014
2025-03-30 363.769317 542.985629 836.165117 1389.499569 2515.242525 5018.710275 12376.125650
2025-04-06 337.386668 509.661357 796.352650 1349.608657 2509.967699 5202.721052 13669.283743
2025-04-13 313.128102 477.980915 756.473579 1304.589616 2485.916166 5335.688156 14879.712535
2025-04-20 304.814617 473.640779 766.280317 1362.213923 2709.626717 6194.556444 19323.224959
2025-04-27 293.376357 463.136036 764.252063 1396.716663 2891.479365 7021.957920 24518.297167
2025-05-04 282.674649 452.838815 761.233697 1428.209882 3073.123897 7925.324938 31134.127191
2025-05-11 268.402005 434.944533 741.930073 1421.495066 3156.159260 8557.386580 37261.190014
2025-05-18 260.757040 428.459444 744.000713 1462.739128 3377.791695 9766.794102 48872.193164
2025-05-25 252.230885 419.620263 740.441718 1490.418828 3569.464793 10975.018547 63213.319257
2025-06-01 241.019303 404.871423 723.498099 1483.822902 3659.769283 11839.808613 77106.033752
2025-06-08 228.533617 386.845439 698.255216 1453.665942 3671.899156 12389.601033 89741.626132
2025-06-15 221.528779 378.941334 693.516511 1474.197640 3851.011373 13806.666616 117546.026367
2025-06-22 209.341311 360.119301 664.018092 1427.607112 3799.041288 14093.571888 132030.311689
2025-06-29 198.467100 343.295980 637.649201 1386.312722 3757.597533 14427.686101 149374.113202